Bank of England Cuts Interest Rates by 0.25% in Narrow Vote

  • The Bank of England cut its key interest rate by 0.25 percentage points for the first time in four months, from 4% to 3.75%, the lowest level since February 2023, in a narrow 5-4 vote.
  • The Monetary Policy Committee remains divided after four members opposed the cut due to concerns that inflation may remain too high. The decision followed a sharp slowdown in UK inflation, which fell to 3.2% in November from 3.6% in October, below the central banks’ forecast of 3.4%.
  • The UK jobs market is weakening, with unemployment rising to 5.1%, the highest since January 2021, slowing private sector pay growth, and declining job vacancies.
  • The Bank forecasts near-zero growth in Q4 2025, down from a prior forecast of 0.3%, reflecting stagnation and delayed investment decisions ahead of the budget. Underlying growth is expected at about 0.2% per quarter.
  • The Bank signaled a gradual path for rate cuts, suggesting future reductions will be cautious and contingent on incoming data. The possibility of halting further cuts is higher if inflation risks persist.
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